![]() Since May 1st, they've got the league's worst wRC+ (77) in the split, and only Minnesota has whiffed at a higher rate than their 27.2% strikeout rate as a collective. The Cubs have quietly tumbled to one of the league's worst offenses against righties. If they can plate a few, Allen could coast through a weakened lineup on the other side. The Guardians' league-low 19.2% strikeout rate, in my opinion, makes them a unique test for the swing-and-miss-reliant Javier. The punchouts (26.4% rate) are still there, but his 3.88 SIERA is right in line with Allen's when I believe the perception is they've got a huge advantage on the bump tonight. Houston will counter with Cristian Javier, who hasn't quite lived up to his sky-high expectations entering the year. Allen's 2.73 ERA isn't the full story when he's rocking a 3.93 SIERA, but he's got legitimately great stuff (12.7% swinging strike rate) to carve up an Astros lineup with a not-so-menacing. I've also supported lefty Logan Allen at several turns, and he's delivered. Yordan Alvarez is doubtful to play tonight due to a groin strain after swinging last night in Toronto, and you never want to rush those. This is another line that could be a bit aided by injury. Plus, as we get into the home stretch, the Pirates' bullpen (4.34 xFIP) has been a step or two ahead of the Mets' (4.48) all season. Plus, this is the Mets' worse split of the two (.718 OPS 12th-worst in MLB), and they could still be without Pete Alonso if his wrist bruise hasn't quite healed up. Rich Hill isn't exactly appetizing on the other side, but his 4.42 SIERA, 21.6% strikeout rate, and 7.4% walk rate are all much better. Megill's free-pass issue is a problem when the Buccos walk at the 11th-highest rate in baseball against righties (9.3%). He's been dreadful since returning from injury, compiling a 5.27 SIERA, a low 17.9% strikeout rate, and an elevated 11.9% walk rate in 12 appearances. ![]() While I feel many bettors will like to jump on the better team in a vacuum as a road 'dog, Pittsburgh is rightfully favored here.įor me, it comes down to New York's Tylor Megill. Please check here to make sure you're seeing the most updated information. All stats come from FanGraphs unless noted otherwise. ![]() Note: Lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. ![]() Which MLB betting odds from FanDuel Sportsbook are most appealing today? Betting on baseball can be a grind that reaps an enormous reward.ĭay-to-day outlooks can be vastly different due to starting pitchers, and a wealth of advanced stats can let us know an individual pitcher, a bullpen, or a team is due to positive - or negative - regression. ![]()
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